Basel Institute on Governance Working Papers https://eterna.unibas.ch/bigwp <p class="isSelectedEnd">The Basel Institute on Governance Working Paper series (ISSN: 2624-9650) publishes research and analysis on corruption, asset recovery, anti-money laundering, business integrity and anti-corruption Collective Action, public governance, environmental crime and related fields.</p> <p>Established in 2003, the series combines scholarly rigour with the practical experience of the Basel Institute and its partners working on anti-corruption and asset recovery around the world. Working Papers are aimed at policymakers, practitioners and researchers.</p> Basel Institute on Governance en-US Basel Institute on Governance Working Papers 2624-9650 Working Paper 63: Anticipating future corruption https://eterna.unibas.ch/bigwp/article/view/2242 <p>This Working Paper explores how insights from foresight and anticipatory governance can strengthen anti-corruption approaches and initiatives. It aims to:</p> <ul> <li class="flex-1 prose-base [&amp;&gt;p:first-child]:mt-0 show">explain why it is important to understand corruption as a challenge that arises in complex social systems and consider the implications of this for the fight against corruption;</li> <li class="flex-1 prose-base [&amp;&gt;p:first-child]:mt-0 show">present key approaches in foresight and anticipatory governance; and</li> <li class="flex-1 prose-base [&amp;&gt;p:first-child]:mt-0 show">show how insights from these approaches can help develop and implement more forward-looking and adaptive anti-corruption strategies by anticipating unintended consequences and identifying future risks and opportunities.</li> </ul> <p> </p> <p><strong>About this Working Paper</strong></p> <p>This paper is published as part of the Basel Institute on Governance Working Paper series, <a class="text-primary-600 hover:text-primary-800" href="https://baselgovernance.org/resources/publications/?type=Working+Paper" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">ISSN: 2624-9650</a>.</p> <p>You may share or republish it under a Creative Commons <a class="text-primary-600 hover:text-primary-800" href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.en" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">BY-NC-ND 4.0</a> International Licence.</p> <p>This Working Paper was written as part of the FALCON (Fight Against Largescale Corruption and Organised Crime Networks) project. FALCON is funded under the European Union’s Horizon Europe Framework Program Grant Agreement ID 101121281. The Basel Institute on Governance, as an associated partner without the right to receive funds directly from the European Research Executive Agency, has received funding from the Swiss State Secretariat for Education, Research and Innovation (SERI).</p> <p>The contents of this document are the sole responsibility of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the European Union, the European Research Executive Agency or SERI.</p> <p>Cover image: generated with Magnfic</p> Jacopo Costa Claudia Baez Camargo Saba Kassa Copyright (c) 2026 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.en 2026-08-31 2026-08-31 1 31 10.12685/bigwp.2026.63.1-31